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Cicilline’s Departure Opens an Opportunity: Ballots & Boundaries

Rep. David Cicillin‘s upcoming resignation may be only the second time in Rhode Island’s history to run a woman into Congress — and she will be the first to become a Democrat.

State Senator Sandra Cano she said she was going to run and state Senator Megan Cullman and Dawn Oyer under consideration.

For anyone else looking to bid in the Democratic First District, Helena Buonanno Fawkesa former CVS Health executive and CEO of Hudson’s Bay, ran for governor in 2022, coming in a close second to incumbent Dan McKee in the Democratic primary. Lieutenant Governor Sabina Matosand former Rhode Island Secretary of State Nelly Golubea.

Why are there so many potential female candidates? With only two congressional districts in the state, prospective candidates have to be patient if they don’t want to chase incumbents in the primary. not. And in the years since Shicilin first appeared in Congress, the state’s political pipeline has changed.

In 2010, Rhode Island ranked 30th among 50 states for the percentage of female state legislatures. In 2021 she climbed to number 3 and now she ranks number 7. according to the data From the American Center for Women and Politics (CAWP).

Kelly Dittmer, a political scientist at Rutgers University, Camden and a CAWP scholar, said in an email that Rhode Island is now one of 11 states with all-male congressional delegations. “In states that rank among the top 10 for the number of women in state legislatures, we know this is not a supply issue,” she said.

Rhode Island’s only lawmaker was a Republican Claudine Schneiderserved from 1981 to 1991. Greg Giraud

Wisconsin: Everyone’s Attention
No dangerous campaigns competing with Judges for the next 5 weeks Janet Protasevic and former Attorney General Daniel Kelly for donations. So we’re sitting back as new records are set in the race to determine the ideological leanings of the Wisconsin Supreme Court.

Conservative group Fair Courts America, funded by Wisconsin packaging billionaire Richard Uihlein, has booked about $3 million in commercials in support of Kelly, according to AdImpact. Protasiewicz booked his $4.8 million ad, plus his $3 million spending from outside groups.

The contest has already surpassed Wisconsin’s most costly Supreme Court ruling in 2020, costing $10 million and costing Kelly his place on the bench. The national record is around his $20 million, according to his 2022 analysis by the Brennan Center for Justice. — Alex Evert

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House ’24

California: “leaner” district
Democratic Party George Whitesideformer CEO of Virgin Galactic and NASA chief of staff, he said run lose one’s seat in the 2024 election Congressman Mike Garciaone of 18 House Republicans from the district that Joe Biden ran in 2020.

Garcia has faced Democrat Christy Smith, a former state legislator who lost in November 2020 by just 333 votes in the past three elections. In his November 2022 when Garcia was re-elected, California’s 27th Ward, which occupies northern Los Angeles County, was Republican-friendly. 53%-47%, Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom lost his district by 51%-49%.

Garcia is a member of the Appropriations Committee and served on the Defense Subcommittee of the 118th Congress. The aerospace and defense industry is a major employer in the district.

California’s top two primaries are March 2024. Amy Walter’s Cook Political Report rates the race as leaning Republican. — Greg Giraud

California: ‘He wants to run for Congress’
Rumors about a possible candidacy came from an unusual source. Congressman Zoe Lofgren (California Democrat) Describes Conversation with Former San Jose Mayor Sam Ricardo (D). He explained that she is voting because she is considering running for office in her constituency or any of its constituencies. Senator Anna Eschoux (D-California). “I told him this is the land of the free. He can run if he wants,” said Lofgren. san jose spotlight“But I’m going to run, and I usually don’t run to lose.”

Michigan: status quo
Record this decision as a victory for the National Republican Congressional Committee.freshman Rep. John James The (Republican) filed papers to run for re-election to the Detroit area House seat and opposed campaigning for an open state Senate seat. Associated Press report.

Senate ’24

ARIZONA: Current Sheriff, Former Candidate
Unsuccessful gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is moving toward announcing the 2024 Senate election. as early as he June, washington post report. Lake is a Republican, and so is Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb. murmured so that he can run (H/T Meet the Press blog)

CALIFORNIA: WHO IS REPRESENTED?
Senator Diane Feinstein’s potential successor has a lot of turf to cover as she introduces herself statewide. Berkeley IGS pollsters spoke to 7,512 California registered voters.When asked about a person who has registered for any political party or who has registered as a Democrat Congressman Adam Schiff39% said they could not give an opinion.

more people didn’t know Congressman Katie Porter (47%), first or most recent contestants; Rep. Barbara Lee (over 60%). Like Feinstein, his three declared candidates are Democrats.read more los angeles times.

Utah, West Virginia: Still contemplating
This week we removed two names from the pending list. Senator Jon Tester (D-Mont.) and Senator Majie Hirono (D-Hawaii). We are still nervous about what Sen. Joe Manchin (DW.Va.) and Sen. Mitt Romney (Utah Republican) will do after the after-holiday interviews .

Romney said he would decide to run “in the spring or summer.” salt lake tribune report. “If I decide to run, I’m confident I can win. I have the resources and I believe the people of Utah are with me,” he said.

In a radio interview, Manchin said he hadn’t decided yet. You can listen to that interview. hereMeanwhile, Governor Jim Justice (RW.Va.) said: SiriusXM Julie Mason He’s close to making a decision to target Manchin’s seat. (Hat Tip: Punchbowl News)

Voting Questions ’23

Main: “Right to Repair”
A proposal calling for automakers to allow independent repair shops access to diagnostic systems—what proponents call “the right to repair”—entered the ballot in November.

Reflecting Massachusetts’ 2020 law, the proposed referendum targets vehicle diagnostic data transmitted wirelessly directly from the vehicle to the manufacturer. This is information that independent shops do not currently have access to. (AP)

Ohio: Abortion Measures
Ohio’s 2023 ballot may include questions about abortion. Proponents took the first step by submitting the proposed constitutional amendment to the Office of the Attorney General.

It seeks to establish a “fundamental right to reproductive freedom” with “reasonable restrictions.” This is similar language to constitutional amendments approved by Michigan voters in November. The Ohio Medical Association for Reproductive Rights and the Ohio People for Reproductive Freedom are pushing for the measure with a campaign estimated to cost up to $36 million. (APs)

Poll Question ’24

Nevada: Prison Labor
Last fall, voters amended the state constitutions of Alabama, Oregon, Tennessee and Vermont to outlaw slavery and involuntary slavery.

Voters will be asked to do the same next year in Nevada, where founding documents allow involuntary office “as punishment for crimes” for which the party is formally convicted. have been sentenced.

Congress approved the ballot amendment as Nevada’s ACLU said it was considering a lawsuit related to the wages and working conditions of women incarcerated in prison fire camps. (AP)

electoral law

Minnesota: Ex-Cheater Voters
Gov. Tim Walz continues to demand that convicted felons restore their voting rights as soon as they are out of prison and complete parole before they can vote. Walz (D) says he will sign . (APs)

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To contact the writer of this article: Greg Giraud in Washington ggiroux@bgov.com; Alex Evert in Madison, Wisconsin aebert@bloomberglaw.com

To contact the editor responsible for this article: Catherine Rizzo and krizzo@bgov.com; Lauren Duggan and lduggan@bgov.com

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