The 2024 election for the Arizona Senate seat is expected to be a high-priced campaign. Three directions throw up.
Incumbent Senator Kirsten Cinema (Arizona) It has continued to build its campaign’s $10 million war chest, but Democratic challenger Rep. Ruben Gallego is catching up. Raised $3.1 million in the last three months — compared to $1.65 million his former party member grown at the same time. The only major Republican candidate, Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb, his campaign began in April and have Raised $608,000 Ever since.
Cinema has yet to formally announce its candidacy. In-house presentation and she donation page It suggests that Cinema is preparing for re-election as an independent.movie theatre left the Democratic Party In December 2022 — she said “Doesn’t fit neatly in any party box” — but still use ActBlue, democracy enginea donation processor that serves the Democratic Party almost exclusively.
New Federal Election Commission Documents to be submitted Cinema closed in June with $10.8 million, according to the company. That’s more than twice as many as both of our opponents combined. Gallego finished the month with his $3.8 million and Lamb with his $335,000.
Unlike its adversaries, cinema raised little money from small donors. About $9,000 of the $1.85 million she raised came from donors under $200. Meanwhile, more than half of Gallego and Lam’s funding came from small donors.
OpenSecrets previously reported that Cinema has raked in money from big banks, Wall Street and prominent conservative donors for the first three months of 2023. The same has been true for the past three months, with Sinema receiving funding from PACs affiliated with Bank of America, Capital One, Morgan Stanley and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. PAC accounted for a total of $235,000 in direct donations to cinema in the second quarter.
Cinema community fundraisers, Cinema Leadership Fundreceived an additional $34,000 from PAC, including $12,500 from PAC affiliated with Fox.Cinema’s campaign committee has received about $726,000 from the Cinema Leadership Fund over the past three months, which it has raised itself. $923,000 during the second quarter.
In the first quarter, Cinema received $10,000 from Senator Lisa Murkowski (R, Alaska)’s Denali Leadership PAC, but unlike the Opposition, it had not reported donations from other camps in the past three months.
Gallego – who announced January 2023 Campaign – Continues to receive support from Democrats, with more than $20,000 in support from the Election Commission and the Leadership PAC in the past three months. His biggest contributors are Rep. Colin Allred (D-Tex.) leadership PAC and 2022 Arizona Senate candidate. Kelly Cooper”campaign committees each donated $5,000 to Gallego.
Lamb received $2,000 from the leadership PAC of Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colorado) and $250 from the leadership PAC of former Rep. Jason Chafetz (R-Utah). Lam was also the only candidate to donate to his own campaign, donating $5,000 in late June.
Despite no official announcement, the cinema campaign committee $842,000 over the past three months. She spent at least $311,000 on her advertising and $81,000 on fundraising consulting.
Gallego’s campaign spent $2 million over the same period, of which $902,000 went to progressive digital company Aisle 518 Strategies for digital consulting, ad buying and SMS fundraising. He started with $2.7 million in April and finished with $3.8 million in June. Lam spent $272,000 and nearly $100,000 on renting lists with information about potential voters and donors.
Lamb is the only Republican candidate running, but rumors swirl that: Kali Lake He ran for governor of Arizona in 2022 and was unsuccessful (Republican), but may run for a seat. NBC recently reported she’ll make a decision in the fall
“Honestly, after seeing the poll results, I believe I’m the only one who can win that race,” Lake said last week. According to The Hill.
The latest poll was sponsored by Gallego. public policy pollsaccording to Five three eight. An April poll predicted Gallego would win with 43% of the vote, with Lam at 33% and Cinema at 15%. In a three-way showdown with Lake, polls predict Gallego will win 42%, with Lake winning 35% and Cinema last with 14%.
February Poll by OH Predictive Insights I expected Gallego to win against Cinema and various Republicans. The poll did not include results for Lam because he had not yet announced his campaign.
