CNN host Dana Bash and political commentator Kristen Soltis Anderson said Sunday that the latest Iowa polls show Vice President Kamala Harris with a wide lead over former President Donald Trump in the red state. questioned the results.
The Des Moines Register/Mediacom released a poll Saturday night showing that the vice president kamala harris Leading former President Donald Trump by a margin of 47% to 44%, pollster Ann Selzer expressed surprise at the result, saying Harris has “clearly moved into the lead.” he pointed out. According to to the Des Moines Register. But Bash highlighted the new data on “State of the Union,” saying the state’s Republican lawmakers have expressed skepticism about the numbers.
“Republicans I’ve talked to in Iowa think that’s probably an exaggeration of her support. But we’re seeing a trend of latecomers to Kamala Harris on the women’s side, on the older side. and it can be very real [and] Not just there, but other places,” Bash said.
When the CNN host asked Anderson about his polling, the political commentator praised Selzer for being a “great pollster” but said there are sometimes “outliers” in the data. He said it was possible. (Related: 2024 New York Times/Siena College Final Poll Shows Contradictions, Surprising Changes in Key States)
“So I’ve seen in my own data that older women tend to lean a little more Democratic. I don’t think it’s as much as the Seltzer poll found. But she’s a good pollster. And even the best pollsters sometimes have outliers. That’s why I think what David Axelrod said about uncertainty is so important.” he said.
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“This election could be a reboot, and the New York Times/Siena poll shows that. of voters in large numbers,” Anderson added. “But this could also be a realignment, and that’s what the Trump team wants.”
Anderson went on to say that while Trump may lose among older women voters, he may be able to make up ground in other key voting blocs.
“They’re actually doing better with younger voters than expected, and they’re doing better with voters of color, so even if they’re doing better with seniors, especially senior women, Even if they lose it bit by bit, they’re regaining it elsewhere,” Anderson continued.
“Whether this is a reboot or a realignment remains to be seen. The uncertainty is more than just ‘we don’t know who’s going to win,’ even though polls are showing this race to be pretty close.” I want to make it clear that there is no such thing.” It’s possible that one of these candidates will walk away with this. Uncertainty is more than just “it’s probably close.” We don’t know anything at this point,” Anderson concluded.
National polls between Harris and Trump have remained close over the past month, even though Trump was leading in several key battleground states in mid-October. Average polling data real clear politicsshows Trump leading Harris nationally by 0.1 percentage points, with 48.4% of the vote to Harris’ 48.3%.
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