The cut-off low coming out of northern Baja tomorrow will begin a short-term storm pattern that will last Monday through Wednesday at noon, bringing two separate systems across the state, resulting in winds, thunderstorms, heavy snow and low-lying rainfall. bring rain. A rare event at this time of year, so read on to learn more about AZWF’s rain, snow and wind models…

The cutoff storm, which as expected missed most of Southern California, will move south from there tonight, over northern Baja, and across Arizona Monday morning through early evening. Rainfall is brought to the lowlands. Thunderstorms are also possible in metropolitan areas, and thunderstorms are possible in mountainous areas. Monday’s thunderstorm brings the possibility of hail and funnel clouds, which could briefly land as a small tornado.

There will be a break Monday night, but the storm system approaching the Pacific Northwest today will sink over Arizona on Tuesday. rainfall is provided. The system is also very strong with respect to downward forced winds. This means gusts of 40 mph or more can be seen across the state, easily exceeding 50 mph in some areas. The wind model in the information and/or link below shows the scales envisioned for Tuesday’s statewide wind festival.

Due to the system in place, a small amount of snow is possible in the Tucson subway zone and most of Cochise, Graham, and Greenlee counties on Tuesday night.

A different system is possible this weekend, but for now use the rain, snow and wind model below for 48 hours starting tomorrow (Monday morning).

Links to rain and snow model images – https://arizonaweatherforce.com/2023/02/12/storm-system-to-move-across-arizona-monday-through-wednesday-morning-damaging-winds-expected-rain-snow-wind-models-released/

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– Raiden Storm –

Master Comprehensive Meteorologist – Consulting meteorologist with over 25 years of experience in over 50 companies including energy, agriculture, aviation, marine, leisure and many other sectors. He is a Mississippi Broadcaster credential as a meteorologist and he is a Pennsylvania State University meteorologist credentialed for MET 101, 241, 341, 361, but prior to that he was completely self-taught, from school he was I had learned very little that I didn’t already know.

Knowing both short and long distances is very important in these jobs, so you can bet on accuracy here. With over 25 years of experience, he is well versed in areas such as the Western United States, tornadoes, floods, hurricanes, high winds, fire behavior, snow and blizzards, short range, long range, seasons, and life-threatening decisions. We forecast all weather services. The lead times and accuracy available today have made him the target of ridicule and envy.

Note: Alerts such as tornado warnings are posted here. These alerts are issued from this office and nowhere else. As is often the case, alert predictions may be posted here that are not seen elsewhere.