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An Electoral Nuke Could Be Heading Straight For UK’s Conservative Party

The Conservative and right-wing parties appear headed for a major defeat in Thursday's UK parliamentary elections.

Britain's two biggest parties, Keir Starmer's left-leaning Labour Party and Chancellor Rishi Sunak's Conservative Party, plus several other parties, will face off in Britain's sharp election campaign. election On Thursday, the House of Commons will hold a general election to decide the makeup of Parliament and the next prime minister, but sources say opinion polls are showing Labour coming out on top, edging out the Conservatives and ousting Mr Sunak from office and the right-wingers from power. (Related article: France's right wins major election victory over Macron's Liberal Party)

“It's obviously been very difficult,” said Steve Baker, a British Conservative MP. Said The Wall Street Journal.

TOP SHOT – British Prime Minister and Conservative Party leader Rishi Sunak speaks in central London on June 24, 2024, as part of the Conservative Party's campaign for the UK general election on July 4. (Photo by Benjamin Kremer/AFP via Getty Images)

YouGov MRP vote On Wednesday, it predicted Starmer's Labour would win 431 of the 650 seats in the House of Commons – more than 100 more than it would need to win an absolute majority in the House of Commons. according to According to CBS News, Sunak's Conservative Party is projected to win just 102 seats, which would mean a loss of 233 seats from its current total.

Conservative voters could instead vote for Nigel Farage's right-wing Reform Party, but that could be futile as polls predict the party will win just six seats in Thursday's general election. Farage has long been an iconic figure on the British right and has said he wants to take control of the Conservative Party after the general election, according to the WSJ.

If Labour wins and secures an absolute majority, it will be the first time in more than 14 years that the Conservatives have lost power. according to According to Politico EU, the election will not directly choose the next prime minister, but the winning party will default to appointing their own leader as prime minister, meaning Sunak is likely to step down from power in around two years' time.

Mr. Sunak It is called Sunak has been campaigning and holding town hall events around the UK in recent weeks ahead of the general election scheduled for May, but that has not changed his view that the Conservative Party's defeat is inevitable. Despite saying victory is “not a foregone conclusion,” Sunak is suffering the worst disapproval rating of any re-elected prime minister in the past 50 years, according to The Wall Street Journal. (Related article: 'We're ready': Conservatives set to secure victory in Europe after big EU elections)

Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer speak on ITV. (Photo by Jonathan Hoddle - ITV via Getty Images)

Salford, England – June 4: (Editor's note: This handout image has been provided by a third party organization and may not adhere to Getty Images' editorial policy.) In this handout image provided by ITV, Labour Party Leader Keir Starmer (left) and Chancellor Rishi Sunak speak during the first in-person debate of the general election in Salford, England on June 4, 2024. (Photo by Jonathan Hodle – ITV via Getty Images)

“[Sunak] “Andrew Cooper, a Conservative member of the House of Lords and a pollster, told The Wall Street Journal: 'If this were a boxing match, it would have been cancelled by now.'

One reason voters' calculations have changed may be that Britain is simply open to change. No British political party has ever won five consecutive terms, but the Conservatives would if they win, according to the WSJ. Despite success in lowering unemployment and crime rates, problems like illegal immigration, national debt and homelessness have skyrocketed in Britain since the Conservatives took power 14 years ago. according to To the New York Times.

The Conservative government has long promised to cut immigration, but more than a decade after it was in power, millions of foreigners have moved to the UK, with more than 1.2 million migrants due to arrive in 2023 alone. according to To the Office for National Statistics.

“2024 ManifestoLabour has pledged to deliver economic stability, focus on infrastructure, green energy initiatives and reform Britain's immigration system. Starmer, described by British media as boring, is set to become the new prime minister. according to To the Washington Post.

Farage's Reform party has made both legal and illegal immigration a key issue in the run-up to Thursday's election. promise He will freeze all non-essential immigration for a few days after taking power, and detain all illegal immigrants within 100 days of taking power.

“I have changed the Labour Party and now I am ready to change Britain,” Starmer said in a statement on Monday.Together, we can stop the chaos, take a fresh step, and start rebuilding.”

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