Exploring Flora, Fauna, and Self-Satisfaction
So, today, I’m diving into a mix of flora, fauna, and, well, the notion of self-satisfaction.
You were away.
Yep, I spent two weeks living in a tent, surrounded by Sierra pine trees and the occasional black bear.
Have you heard about a potential special election in California?
I’m in the loop on that.
Gov. Gavin Newsom seems to be charting his own path with backing from a Democratic-led Congress. Voters are set to weigh in on a partisan gerrymander aimed at tilting the balance towards Republicans in Texas this November.
Five potential GOP house seats might be axed from a map created by California’s independent commission, something voters established over a decade ago.
Fight fire with fire!
I think it’s time to retire that saying.
What do you mean?
References to knife fights and Democrats pop up in the strangest ways—pencils, rubber bands, and butter knives. No campaigns seem to be on the horizon, and whatever ratios were supposed to matter are already outdated.
Are you okay? At least the Democrats seem to be fighting back.
In a rather erratic way, yes.
Look, I get it. Donald Trump is undermining democratic norms and runs a cabal of family contributors. As Gustavo Arellano noted, I sometimes find my peers’ phrases quite baffling. The Column Star treats the Constitution laxly, to say the least.
Democrats seem impotent in Washington and are bending to the will of a Republican Congress and Supreme Court, collecting Trump like some bizarre trophy. So, pushing back against the President is understandably viewed as a win for the party.
But it’s also, I think, seductive and simple, especially when the party looks inward, facing its own challenges. For many voters, these internal squabbles over redistricting do little to tackle the more significant issues at stake.
We saw how that strategy played out in 2024.
This is a “broken glass” moment for democracy, Gov. Newsom proclaimed!
Really?
I mean, there’s nothing worse than a politician who’s both grasping and calculating while draping those maneuvers in red, white, and blue decorations.
Ultimately, this seems all about undermining presidential ambitions.
Why?
It all started when our governor appeared on a left-leaning podcast during a tour in the South, ranting about Trump and Texas, proposing a similar gerrymandering strategy in California. (He conveniently ignored the fact that he didn’t have that authority under the state constitution, hence the need for these special elections to get voter approval for new, skewed district lines.)
Before long, Newsom’s threat took off. Redistricting typically happens every ten years after the census. Now, the battle between red and blue has transformed into an ongoing war, prompting several states to consider adjusting congressional maps for partisan gains.
The issue for Newsom and the Democrats? Republicans have much more room to gerrymander than they do. Instead of just losing those five Democratic-held seats in Texas, they could find themselves in worse shape come 2026.
Wow.
It’s worth noting that predicting election outcomes is largely guesswork.
What do you mean?
Democrats need to flip three Congressional districts to regain control of the House. That’s why Trump wants Texas Republicans to snag those additional five seats for a stronger GOP presence.
But there’s no guarantee those five seats will go to the Republicans. They’re banking on the same Latino base that Trump relied on in 2024, and recent surveys indicate that enthusiasm among that demographic for the GOP may be fading.
Furthermore, constant insights from political analysts highlight critical factors.
“Even if new maps emerge from Texas and California, they could reshape the 2026 landscape considerably,” a recent analysis stated. “Ultimately, the fate of a Republican-controlled House hinges on two simple questions: How do voters feel about the economy, and what do independent voters think of the current party?”
There’s a lot to unfold before November 2026, but neither factor bodes particularly well for Trump and the Republicans right now.
Well, they started it by messing around with Texas.
True, and none of this is meant to defend Trump, Texas Governor Greg Abbott, or any of the president’s political allies.
But effectively diminishing millions of California Republicans is just as bad as marginalizing millions of Texas Democrats.
What?
If Democrats craft their own strategy, the GOP will be clinging to just a handful of California’s 52 House seats. In a state with millions of Republican voters, how fair or representative is that? It actually might be worse than in any other state besides Texas.
Many residents lie outside Democrat-heavy cities and suburban areas. They feel overlooked and politically powerless. That’s unhealthy for California and for democracy itself. It creates anger, resentment, cynicism, and a sort of political nihilism that can lead to support for outlandish candidates like Trump.
Of course, Newsom might not be concerned. At this point, he likely hopes to boost his presidential prospects along with the shaky foundations of the Democratic Party.
By fighting fire with fire!
And potentially setting the whole place ablaze.