The Cook Political Report on Tuesday updated its projections for key battleground states for the 2024 presidential election following the June debates, with changes suggesting President Joe Biden could find himself in trouble.
Cook Political Report, one of America's leading nonpartisan election and campaign watchers. update With four months to go until Election Day, former President Donald Trump is currently leading in key jurisdictions, including key battleground states like Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. Cook's update reflects some voters abandoning Biden after Trump and Biden's lackluster and disjointed performances in the June 27 debate, which has raised serious questions about Biden's intelligence and ability to serve as president.
Tuesday's updates included Arizona, Georgia and Nevada being changed from “swing” to “Republican” states. Elsewhere in the country, New Hampshire, Minnesota and Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District all changed from “Democrat” to “Democrat” states. (Related article: “We're not even in the same book”: Democratic turmoil continues as House conference fails to reach Biden agreement)
Today, we are making six changes to the Electoral College assessment.
AZ: Toss up to Lean R
GA: Toss up to Lean R
MN: Likely to lean from D to D#NE02: Likely to lean from D to D
NH: Likely to lean from D to D
NV: Toss up to Lean RFollow On the state of the election campaign after the debate: https://t.co/AAoW23wKWC— Cook Political Report (@CookPolitical) July 9, 2024
After the debate, Trump's popularity has generally improved in the polls, and his campaign reportedly believes states that were previously thought out of reach could now become swing states as Biden's numbers sag, while Biden faces requests and oversight from elected officials and voters. liberal Media Commentator He should withdraw from the race, lest he stumble through November and lose to President Trump.
But Biden has not yet indicated he plans to drop out of the race — his campaign has vehemently rejected calls to do so — and on Monday he made it clear he plans to continue in the race, appearing on MSNBC's “Morning Joe,” and calling on his opponents to challenge him at the party convention if they don't want to be the Democratic nominee.
According to a New York Times/Siena poll, Trump has an 8-point lead among registered voters, with 49% backing him and 41% backing Biden. release The poll showed Trump leading by six points among overall voters, with 49% of voters supporting him and 43% supporting Biden.
A separate poll published Wednesday in the Wall Street Journal showed Trump leading Biden by six points nationally, with 48% approval rating to Biden's 42%. poll.
The Biden campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
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