Doug Schoen, a former pollster for former President Bill Clinton, said Thursday on Fox News that former President Donald Trump’s growing appeal among minority voters could lead to Democratic strongholds in key battleground states. He said there is a possibility of it collapsing.
in exterior Speaking on Fox News’ Laura Ingraham’s “The Ingraham Angle,” Schoen laid bare the changing voter dynamics that could destabilize longtime Democratic strongholds in key battleground states. He expressed concern that the “blue wall,” which includes traditionally Democratic strongholds such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, is showing signs of weakening and declining support.
“I think what we’re seeing is the working class vote moving in Trump’s direction. Voters without a college education and blue-collar men are all moving in Trump’s direction. “We’re working hard,” Shane told Ingraham. “Laura, as you suggested, there is a movement for Trump among the African-American minority in Wisconsin.”
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This change is not limited to Wisconsin; Schoen points out that there is a similar trend in Michigan, as well as a reshaping of the South with states like Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona leaning toward President Trump. pointed out.
“Basically, the blue wall in Wisconsin and Michigan is eroding. The South, defined as Georgia, North Carolina and southwestern Arizona, seems to be trending toward President Trump,” Schoen continued. “We’re currently looking at five potential Trump states, five swing states.” (Related article: Former Clinton aide is ‘silent’ about Harris, Biden’s ‘cavalier indifference’ to hurricanes)
He stressed that if Pennsylvania, another key state, were to tilt in Mr. Trump’s favor, the campaign could be decisively over.
“Once Pennsylvania is gone, the election is over, and all the trends are pointing to the same movement. It’s not over yet, you’re right, but Trump’s direction is definitely changing,” Sean explained.
In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden secured the presidency with significant support from Hispanic and Black voters, replicating former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s coalition and winning 92% of the Black vote. The Pew Research Center announced that it has won. reported. Recent AP-NORC Public Relations Research Center public opinion poll Approximately 70% of black registered voters have a favorable view of Vice President Kamala Harris, but they remain unconvinced about her ability to positively change the country.
Mr. Trump has gained support among blue-collar voters, with a 31-point lead among college graduates and a 17-point increase among non-white, non-college-educated voters since 2020. Meanwhile, Harris struggled to maintain her footing with union voters, securing only a nine-point lead, in contrast to the double-digit advantages held by previous Democratic candidates.
A recent poll from Michigan News Source and MIRS shows Mr. Trump has a lead in Michigan, and his odds of defeating Ms. Harris in the Electoral College have increased to 58.8%. This marks a significant change from the previous close race that The New York Times and Siena College reported in September in this key battleground.
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