Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Arizona) lost out to Senator Kirsten Sinema (I-A.) in a new poll to gauge support for a three-way Senate race in 2024. He is leading governor candidate Kari Lake (Republican). by cinema.

up to date Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Report A poll by Noble Predictive Insights (formerly OH Predictive Insights) put Gallego in the lead at 34%, compared to Lake at 26% and Cinema, who left the Democratic Party last year to become an independent, at 25%. .

A further 15% were undecided, according to the poll.

Without Cinema in the race, the dichotomy widens Gallego’s lead to 10%, while Lake’s 35% to 45% Democrats.

“Rep. Gallego’s strength in head-to-head shows his appeal across multiple tiers and makes him a formidable candidate in this election,” said NPI founder and research director Mike Noble. said in the report.

“But given her ability to draw support from independents, the entry of the Cinema senator could make the election landscape more complicated,” Noble said.

Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Arizona) attends a press conference on Thursday, May 25, 2023 to discuss the implications for veterans if Congress doesn’t raise the debt ceiling.

Gallego announced earlier this year that he would run for a seat in the Senate to replace Cinema, who has switched parties. Cinema has not announced whether it will run for re-election.

Another Republican is running for office, Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb. Lake, who lost the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial race, is eyeing the race, and former senator Blake Masters is also seen as a potential Republican nominee.

A new poll found Gallego holds the lead in the race against Ram and Cinema.

In the three-way match, Gallego won 33%, Cinema 24% and Ram 25%, with 18% undecided. Gallego’s earnings were 32 percent for him, 28 percent for Cinema, 24 percent for Masters, and 16 percent undecided.

“Cinema’s third-party candidacy does not guarantee a Republican victory in the Arizona Senate race, and more interestingly, [there] This seems to be the way cinema wins in a three-way showdown,” Noble said.

The poll, which surveyed 1,000 registered voters in Arizona from July 13 to 17, had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.