With just two weeks left until Election Day, the Senate battleground map is shifting further in favor of Republicans as the chances of Republicans defeating vulnerable Democratic senators increase.
The latest innovations based on new reviews from Monday Cook Political Reporthas changed the Pennsylvania Senate race between Republican Dave McCormick and Democratic incumbent Sen. Bob Casey from “lean Democratic” to “toss-up,” with Democrats already under siege in several key states. This represents an important change for Republicans are on track to win 51 seats as competition from Democrats intensifies in “blue wall” states.
Wisconsin recently moved into the toss-up category, making it the next best chance for an upset for Republicans, the report added. Michigan appears safer in public polls, but is still much closer according to internal polls.
Cook Political said the four major races listed in the “toss-up” column are likely to determine the size of the Republican majority.
Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Tester is trailing Republican Tim Sheehy, but Republicans are expected to make gains in West Virginia, with independent Sen. Joe Manchin’s decision not to run,・The door has been opened for a Republican victory under Governor Justice. Cook Political reported that the path for Republicans to win a Senate majority is becoming increasingly possible.
With two weeks left, two new Senate CPR race ratings change.#percent: Toss up with Lean D#nesen: Likely R ~ Lean R
read @JessicaTaylorLatest information from: https://t.co/eTW8zC1aCX
— Cook Political Report (@CookPolitical) October 21, 2024
According to the RealClearPolitics poll average, Casey’s lead is less than 2 points, within the margin of error. In addition to Pennsylvania, Republicans are also eyeing Ohio, where Republican challenger Bernie Moreno is gaining momentum against Democratic incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown, Cook Political said. Ta.
Bill Clinton’s former pollster Doug Schoen has previously expressed concerns about Vice President Kamala Harris’ ability to hold key Democratic states in the upcoming election. Schoen pointed to growing weaknesses in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, states traditionally considered part of the Democratic Party’s “blue wall.”
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