- Former President Donald Trump defeated former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley in New Hampshire by 11 points on Tuesday, just over a week after winning the Iowa caucuses with 51% support.
- According to CNN exit polls, Trump secured a majority of support among Republicans and conservative voters in the state, while Haley won 86% of self-identified Democrats and 86% of moderate/liberal voters. It received support from 74%.
- John McHenry, a Republican polling analyst and vice president of North Star Opinion Research, said, “Going forward, Haley will perform better among Republicans and at the same time perform better among independents in states where she can participate.'' “I need to maintain my role in the organization,” he told the Daily Caller News Foundation. .
Former President Donald Trump solidified his support among Republican voters in Tuesday's New Hampshire primary, while former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley's support came primarily from atypical Republican voters, according to exit polls.
Trump won the Granite state with 54.3% of the vote to Haley's 43.3%. That means the former president will receive 12 of New Hampshire's 22 delegates. according to On CNN.outlet exit vote While Trump won a majority of Republicans, young voters, and minorities, Haley secured support primarily from self-identified Democrats, urban voters, and religious non-religious voters.
“Haley is too weak among conservative Republicans to be the Republican nominee,” said Kyle Kondik, a nonpartisan polling analyst and editor-in-chief of Sabato's Crystal Ball, per the Daily Caller News Foundation. told. (Related: 'She did very well': Nikki Haley supporters remain optimistic despite loss to Trump in New Hampshire)
New Hampshire allows unaffiliated voters, both Republican and Democratic, to participate in either party's primaries, with nearly half of the Republican primary voters as of Tuesday night, according to CNN exit polls. occupied.
According to polls, Haley received an overwhelming 86% support from voters who identify as Democrats, compared to just 25% of Republicans who supported the former ambassador. Only 27% of conservatives supported Haley, but 74% of those who identify as “moderate/liberals” voted for the former ambassador.
Additionally, the majority of Haley's support came from undeclared registered voters at 64%, while Trump received support from 74% of registered Republicans, according to the poll.
John McHenry, a Republican polling analyst and vice president of North Star Opinion Research, said, “Going forward, Haley will perform better among Republicans and also outperform independents in states where she can participate.'' We need to maintain support,” he told DCNF. “That will likely mean challenging former President Trump more directly on issues like Ukraine and China, as well as rights reform and job creation.”
Exit polls showed Trump secured support from key voters in the general election, including minorities, young voters and suburban women. The president in all of these was President Joe Biden. won In 2020.
The former president won a higher percentage among minority voters than white voters (58% vs. 54%, respectively), according to the poll. Conversely, Haley won the support of more white voters than minorities, who make up just 7% of New Hampshire voters.
“I think non-white participation in future primaries is worth looking at,” McHenry said. “More diverse participation may say something about a candidate's ability to ultimately capture votes that have historically gone to Democrats.”
Concord, New Hampshire – January 23: Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley, former ambassador to the United Nations, takes the stage at her opening night rally at the Grappone Conference Center. (Joe Radle/Getty Images)
According to the poll, Mr. Trump outperformed Ms. Haley in every age group, but the biggest difference was among 18- to 29-year-olds. The former president won demographically 58% to 36%.
According to the poll, Haley won urban voters 52% to 43%, but lost suburban and rural voters by 13 and 16 points, respectively. Mr. Trump won 6 points among suburban women and received a majority of support among unmarried men and women.
“If you look at geography, Ms. Haley won in every liberal area in the state. Concord, Seacoast, Keene, Hanover, and some of the more random moderate/liberal towns like Amherst and Bedford. “Maybe,” said Mike Dennehy, a veteran Republican strategist in New Hampshire. he told DCNF. “These demographics follow New Hampshire Republicans ideologically.”
According to the poll, the former ambassador won over half of those who said they “never participate” in religious services. Conversely, Haley lost to Trump those who said they attend religious services “sometimes” at least weekly.
“Haley voters are a lot like D voters: They don't go to church, they don't own guns,” Mike McKenna, a Republican consultant and president of MWR Strategies, told DCNF. “President Trump won because he focused on issues. Governor Haley lost in part because she focused on personal identity. Now onto the main event. Masu.”
The poll found that a majority of voters who said someone in their home owned a gun voted for Mr. Trump, 62%, while just 36% similarly supported Ms. Haley.
The next nomination contests will be held in Haley's home states of Nevada and South Carolina, where she expects to draw a large number of voters. The Nevada primary will be held on February 6th, the caucuses will be held two days later, and the South Carolina primary will be held on February 24th.
RealClearPolitics currently has Trump leading Haley in South Carolina by 30.2 points. averagehas support from the Republican governor and two Republican senators.
Trump and Haley's campaigns did not immediately respond to DCNF's requests for comment.
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