Journalist and author Mark Halperin said in a livestream on Wednesday that polls in key battleground states showing Vice President Kamala Harris' approval rating “within the margin of error” could put Democrats in a “scary position” in November.
Since Harris became the party's presidential nominee, the race between her and former President Donald Trump has become more intense compared to President Joe Biden's reelection campaign. Speaking on a 2WAY livestream, Halperin said Harris may be leading “on paper,” but it's “within the margin of error,” adding that Trump could be ahead by mid-September.
“There are some public polls out there already, and more to come out. There are some private polls nationally that suggest she's not leading in battleground states. She may be leading on paper, but it's within the margin of error. And there are some battleground states that, on this trajectory, we think Donald Trump is going to be leading,” Halperin said.
“And no matter what happens in the interview, no matter what happens in the debate, by mid-September, when the dust has settled and the Trump campaign has had time to exploit some of the weaknesses that I've suggested, Trump will have a lead in every Sun Belt state, a lead in Pennsylvania and maybe even a tie in Michigan and Wisconsin,” Halperin said.
Halperin added that a lead for Trump could put him on a “straight path to 270 electoral votes” before voters head to the polls in November. (RELATED: Prominent pollster says Harris' honeymoon 'appears to have peaked')
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“This is pretty much the same situation Joe Biden was in before the debate, with only one path to 270 electoral votes, including the Great Lakes states and Nebraska,” Halperin continued. “From mid-September through Election Day, this is going to be a scary situation for Democrats.”
Harris has faced criticism for delaying the release of a formal policy platform and for not giving detailed interviews to reporters. In an interview with ABC News on Sunday, Republican Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas criticized Harris for not privately and publicly rejecting the far-left views she promoted during her 2020 campaign, noting that only aides have raised the issue.
Recent National opinion poll The Economist/YouGov poll showed Harris leading by just 2 percentage points with 47% of the vote, compared to Trump's 45%. data The race is close in key battleground states, with Trump leading 0.2% to 1.4% in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, while Harris leads 1% to 2% in Wisconsin and Michigan, according to RealClearPolitics.
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