Democratic strategists warned Monday that Vice President Kamala Harris may be losing support in the Rust Belt even as she closes the gap in polls with former President Donald Trump.
Vice President Kamala Harris reportedly claimed Tuesday that she had the necessary delegate support to win the Democratic nomination, two days after President Joe Biden announced he would not accept the party's nomination. approved He nominated her to succeed Trump as he faces off against former President Donald Trump in the presidential election in 2024. Julian Epstein, former chief counsel for the House Judiciary Committee, said on “Mornings with Maria” that working-class voters are leaning toward Trump.
“You have to take the poll average,” Epstein explained to “Mornings with Maria” co-host Cheryl Cassone. “If you take the poll average, Donald Trump is still leading by a point or two nationally and he's still leading in most battleground states. And that's from five of the seven most recent polls. So what we've seen is the race is back to where it was before the debate and has been stuck there for the rest of the year.” (Related article: “I don't think many men will vote for Harris”: Battleground state voters tell CNN, doubtful Harris can win battleground states)
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'Not so good for Harris': Democratic strategist pours cold water on Democrats' hopes for Rust Belt pic.twitter.com/dLOwpfQG3F
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In national head-to-head races, President Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by 1.7 percentage points. according to Trump is leading in the average of RealClear polls taken from July 5 to 25. Growing If we include Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein and independent presidential candidates Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in the survey, the figure is 1.8%.
By comparison, Trump held a 3.1% lead in national head-to-head contests before President Joe Biden ended his reelection bid. according to According to the RealClearPolling poll average, Expanding If Stein, Kennedy and West are included in the survey, the figure is 4.2%.
“The change you're seeing is that you also have to look at the crosstabs of the polls, which is a clever way of telling viewers to look at the demographic breakdown of the polls,” Epstein continued. “The big change we're seeing is that Kamala Harris appears to be attracting a lot of younger voters who have left the Democratic Party and black voters who have left the Democratic Party under Biden, which is good for Harris. Meanwhile, older voters and working-class voters seem to be leaning toward Trump, which is bad news for Harris.”
“The reason this is bad news for her is because the voters in the Midwestern states, the Rust Belt swing states, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin are mostly older and working class,” Epstein said. “So, we're back to pre-debate norms, but we've traded California voters for Pennsylvania voters, which is not a good thing for Harris.”
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