Senator Kirsten CinemaPhoto: Gage Skidmore
Senator Kirsten Cinema (I-AZ) could face an uphill battle if she runs for re-election in 2024.
a new public policy poll Just 27% of Arizona voters viewed cinema positively and found they want her to run for re-election. Fifty percent of her voters in the state dislike her, and 54 percent say she should not run again.
Cinema announced in December that she was leaving the Democratic Party after years as a moderate in a major Democratic initiative. . Many wonder if she could possibly win both Democratic and Republican challengers as an independent, or if she could act as a spoiler, splitting the Democratic vote in purple states and helping out. I thought. Republican candidate victory.
Polls showed she had little chance of winning.
When people were asked who they would vote for – Cinema; Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Arizona), likely Democratic candidate. Or the Republican candidate – she didn’t fare very well. voted for Cinema, but only 14% said they would vote for Cinema (35% said they would vote for Lake and 42% said they would vote for Lake). %Gallego). The results were about the same when other Republican nominees — including investor Jim Lamon and Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb — stood in for Lake.
Cinema is making fun of its Democratic colleagues for raising money from Republican donors, but it’s also trying to use Democratic fundraising mechanisms to get campaign money, but it’s also falling behind in the fundraising race. increase. Her campaign raised her $2.1 million in the first quarter of 2023, which is below her Gallego’s $3.7 million.
Her opposition to cinema Democratic legislation, her reluctance to consider the filibuster reforms that doomed pro-LGBTQ+ equality laws, and her lack of support for low-cost Democrats led to her party, leading many to speculate that she may have gone independent. She probably would have lost in the 2024 Senate Democratic primary.
AARP poll last September Thirty-seven percent of Arizona voters have a favorable view of her, marking a 10-point drop in the past seven months, including when she announced she was going independent.