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Polls: Trump Has More Than Doubled His Lead Over Biden Since the Debate

Since the first presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden, polls have reportedly shown Trump building a more than 2-to-1 lead over Biden in the 2024 presidential election.

Biden's poor performance last week has created major problems for Democrats, throwing them into disarray with some calling for him to be removed as the party's nominee, while Trump appears to be gaining ground among voters across the country.

Democracy Corp polls conducted before and after the debate found significant drops in Biden's support, including among key Democratic voting demographics such as blacks, Hispanics and third-party voters. according to According to The Wall Street Journal, in five national polls conducted after the debate, Trump's lead over Biden jumped from an average of 1.5 points to 3.2 points.

The day after the debate, CBS/YouGov vote The survey results showed that 72% of Americans no longer believe Biden is mentally or cognitively healthy enough to serve a second term, up an estimated seven points from the initial survey in early June. (Related story: Democratic donors set their sights on Congress as fears of Biden defeat grow)

Pollster Nate Silver weighed in on the numbers for the two presidential candidates. To tell It's “possible” that Biden's “approval ratings may be worsening as the debate aftermath continues,” but the data could still change. Silver estimates that in the latest numbers, Trump has a three-point lead over Biden nationally, with Trump at 42.7%, Biden at 39.7% and independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 9.5%. show.

People watch the presidential debate between U.S. President Joe Biden and Republican front-runner, former President Donald Trump, at Wicked Willy's in New York City on June 27, 2024. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

Signs that Biden's popularity among key Democratic voters was beginning to slip began circulating widely after a New York Times/Siena poll was released in May. Revealed The data showed that even though Biden won 60% of the vote in the 2020 election, Trump and Biden received essentially the same number of votes among young people aged 18 to 29 and Hispanic voters.

Additionally, polls have shown Trump making significant gains among black voters, with polls at the time suggesting the former president could win about 20% of the electorate, one of the highest approval ratings for a Republican candidate since the 1964 Civil Rights Act.

An Ipsos poll suggests Biden could be replaced as the candidate. carried out This week, other Democratic candidates were given a chance to win compared to President Trump. Among the top candidates polling, the data shows former First Lady Michelle Obama is the only Democrat to hold an 11-point lead over President Trump, followed by Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer at 5 points, Vice President Kamala Harris at 1 point, and California Governor Gavin Newsom at 3 points.

Biden and his allies remain adamant that he will move forward as the nominee despite the concerns. ABC-TV reported that the president's first post-debate interview with George Stephanopoulos was released in part on Friday, with an extended version due to be available Sunday morning.

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