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Ranked-Choice Voting Could Spell ‘Serious Trouble’ For London Breed’s Reelection, Poll Finds

San Francisco Mayor London Breed may face a hurdle to re-election due to ranked-choice voting, according to a San Francisco Chronicle poll conducted Thursday.

The city's ranked voting mechanism leads to many voters' second or third preference and often plays a key role in determining election outcomes. according to To the chronicle. Former Mayor and Supervisor Mark Farrell, as approximately 40% of the city's voters are undecided on who to vote for, but 20% of potential voters have indicated they would rank him as their candidate. will receive the highest support in the first round of ranked voting. Polls show that it is or tends to be the first choice. (Related: Democratic mayor floats bill to roll back post-George Floyd police reforms amid massive crime spike)

“Obviously, you don't want to draw too firm a conclusion given that there are a lot of voters who are still undecided,” said Jonathan Brown, president of Sextant Strategies, which spearheaded the Chronicle poll. . “But…if this is the field of leading candidates right now, it certainly looks like Breed is in very, very deep trouble.”

Polls show Breed received fewer second-choice votes than Farrell and philanthropist and successor to Levi Strauss, Daniel Lurie. Additionally, more than one-third of likely voters said they would rank Breed as the worst candidate after the other three leading candidates, according to the poll.

The survey was conducted between February 14 and 18 among 812 likely voters, according to the Chronicle. The results showed that 71% of voters disapproved of Breed's management of the city.

“Mayor Breed continues to boldly lead our city's recovery with a focus on economic revitalization and public safety,” Maggie Muir, political consultant for Breed's re-election campaign, told the Chronicle. “The election Mayor Breed is currently focused on is two weeks away, with voters seeking her proposed ballot measures to make the city safer, support neighborhoods, and bring more investment and housing to downtown.” I’m going to vote.”

About 40% of the city's voters have not yet decided who they will vote for, but 20% of likely voters have indicated that Farrell is their first choice or intends to do so. Therefore, Farrell will likely receive the most support in the first round of ranking voting. According to public opinion polls, they are likely to do so. According to the poll, Breed secured second place with 18%, followed by Lurie with 16% and Supervisor Ayesha Safai with 8%.

Breed, a Democrat, has advocated for defunding the police in 2020 in the wake of Black Lives Matter protests against law enforcement, increasing the budget for police and sheriff's departments by $120 million. Reduced. But as Mr. Safai and Mr. Lurie ran for mayor as moderates, she reversed her signature crime policies. according to To Politico.

The general election will be held on November 5th.

Breed's campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment from the Daily Caller News Foundation.

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