NBC National Political's Steve Kornacki said Sunday that Democrats' support among the Hispanic vote, once a Democratic stronghold, has declined by double digits over the past 12 years.
Vice President Kamala Harris is less popular among Hispanic voters than past Democratic candidates, according to polls. Kornacki said on “Meet the Press” that even though Harris is doing “a little bit better” than President Joe Biden in key voting blocs, the party is hurting compared to past elections. He said that he has received.
“Among Latinos, our poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 54-40%. Here's a little context: Mind you, this is a little better for Democrats than what was going on among Hispanics when Joe Biden was the nominee, but the bigger story here is historically, right now. “I think it's 54-40, giving Democrats a 14-point advantage,” Kornacki said. “If you look back at the last three presidential elections, the exit polls for Hispanic voters were: 14 — look at that cut. — That's nearly 20 points lower than just four years ago. ”
According to data from Politico, Democrats had a 44-point lead among Hispanic voters in the 2012 general election, but their approval rating fell by 6 points in 2016 and another 5 points in 2020, with Democrats holding a 44-point lead among Hispanic voters. His electoral advantage was only 14 points. 2024 race.
Kornacki further segmented the voting demographic, pointing out that former President Donald Trump has a lead among Hispanic men under 50, even though his approval rating with women is similar to that of Harris. did. (Related article: Battleground states with few electoral votes could give Harris a “huge blow” in November, potentially overpowering her)
“The gender gap is certainly well known. Boys are tied in this race. Women have a 26 point advantage. Again, among Hispanic voters, as seen in overall voter goals, There's a difference. Also, age is a big factor here,” Kornacki said. “Harris has a nearly 60 point lead among voters 50 and older, Hispanic voters 50 and older, and Harris has a narrow lead among Hispanic voters under 50. In fact, among men under 50, Harris has a nearly 60-point lead. So Donald Trump actually has a nine-point lead in our poll.”
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“We also see educational disparities. Again, we talk about this a lot when we talk about the electorate as a whole. Men without a four-year degree now support Trump by double digits in our polls. “Men with degrees are siding with Harris here, and the gap is larger for women, but we're starting to see some of the educational disparity,” Kornacki continued.
The political correspondent noted that Catholic Hispanics tend to favor Harris over Trump by 20 points, while among Protestant Hispanics Trump leads Harris by 26 points. Kornacki said that while Harris leads Trump on abortion and its effectiveness, Trump has a 13-point lead on immigration and leads on voters' key concerns: the economy and inflation. He pointed out that there was.
“Hispanic voters are saying Donald Trump, and this is part of a broader shift in Hispanic voters' fundamental attitudes toward immigration. Look, when Donald Trump first ran in 2016, “Sixty-nine percent of Hispanics say immigration helps the country more than it hurts. That number drops to 62, and 35% say it hurts more than it helps,” Kornacki said. .
Currently, 37% of Hispanic voters support the Republican Party and 49% support the Democratic Party, Kornacki said, with left-wing support among this key voting group dropping by nearly 29 points since 2012. Ta.
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