CNN national correspondent John King on Monday pointed to Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump’s “easiest” path to victory on Election Day.
Martin Luther King Jr. said that polling data is still not available on the eve of the Nov. 5 election, even though former Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and President Joe Biden maintain a lead at this point in the campaign. He said there was no clear leader. The easiest path to victory for Harris and Trump is to win Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, one of the Sun Belt states, or Nebraska’s 2nd District.
“Vice President, this is a modest lead, but she has led consistently.” [in the Great Lakes states]. It’s a modest lead, but it’s a consistent lead here,” King said. “That’s how she’ll get there, and this is why Pennsylvania is so important. This is why both candidates have spent so much time and have spent so much time… If you want to keep it [Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania]that doesn’t mean she will, but she has maintained a modest consistent lead in both areas. [Michigan and Wisconsin]if she has this, that’s enough. As long as she wins Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, all polls show her doing well. That is the easiest path for her, and there is no easy path. But it’s the easiest path. ”
Mr. Harris is spent More than $294.7 million in Pennsylvania intersect She plans to campaign across the state in Allentown, Scranton, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, where she plans to hold a concert. Trump has held rallies in Reading and Pittsburgh.
“If she doesn’t win, [Pennsylvania]let’s say Donald Trump wins, how will Harris get there? Well, we have to win at least two more, and [Arizona and Nevada] It won’t be enough. Let’s say she puts up a good fight here, but these two won’t be enough because they’re not big enough in terms of the number of electors,” Dr. King continued. “That’s why Penn State stands out so much here.”
King said that if Trump wins the three Great Lakes states, he will receive 263 electoral votes, and he would need to win one of the Sunbelt states to reach 270 votes. If Trump wins Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, the vice president would need to win every Sun Belt state to win. (Related: CNN’s John King breaks down how each candidate was able to narrowly win key battleground states)
In 2016, on the eve of the election, Clinton was expected to win the Great Lakes states and North Carolina, but ultimately lost to Trump, King said. Biden was projected to win the Great Lakes and Nevada states on the eve of the 2020 election, according to polling data.
“The blue wall was leaning blue that day, right? She lost all three of those matches to Donald Trump. That’s why I want everyone at home to be prepared for what’s going to happen tomorrow, in the sense that we can take some lead,” Dr. King said. “But we knew there was a move by Trump at the end. The question was, she had been leading the campaign for so long, but was it enough to overcome that?” , it became clear on the day of the election. [Trump’s support] That was enough to overcome it. ”
Trump’s support has historically been underrepresented in polls in both the 2016 and 2020 elections. Mr. Biden led Mr. Trump by 8 points in Wisconsin and Michigan, and by 5 points in Pennsylvania, giving him the lead in all three states. won by narrow margin On election day, According to to 538 public opinion poll.
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said Friday that the poll had a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points but showed “a small sign of Trump’s momentum” in seven battleground states as of Nov. 1. said. If the former president wins Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada and Pennsylvania, he would receive 312 electors, but if Harris wins all of the battleground states, he would receive more than 300 electors. will be obtained.
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