A final presidential election poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College finds Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in a close race, with just one point separating the candidates just two days before Election Day. It has become.

Opinion polls between the candidates have become significantly closer over the past few weeks, and political observers are keeping an eye on how close the race will be leading up to Election Day. NYT/Siena College typically identifies a “clear favorite” regardless of the outcome, but in the final poll state This time, it will not be that kind of election.

data According to the poll, 48% of 7,879 survey respondents said they would support Harris in the matchup in several key battleground states, while 47% said they would support former President Harris. Less than 1% of respondents said they had already voted for a third-party candidate, and 4% either did not know who they were voting for or refused to answer. (Related — Watch now: “Cleaning Kamala”)

A breakdown of several battleground states shows Harris leading by one point in Georgia and three points in both North Carolina and Wisconsin. By contrast, Trump has a four-point lead in Arizona and one point in Michigan, according to the New York Times/Siena College, and the two candidates are undecided in Pennsylvania.

The seven battleground states had a margin of error of plus or minus 1.3 percentage points, and each state poll had a margin of error of about plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The outlet said 16% of white Democrats were more likely than white Republicans to respond to polls, creating a “broader disparity” than previous data, and that “polls are again underestimating Trump.” He acknowledged that the possibility of evaluation is increasing.

The newspaper said Harris’ position in the Electoral College “has not necessarily improved,” but the vice president has gained more ground in the party’s key voting blocs and in some battleground states compared to the previous vote. increasing the vote share. The NYT/Siena College poll showed Harris’ support increased among black and Hispanic voters in the final round, with support among black voters reaching 84% from 80% and among Hispanics from 55%. It turns out that the increase has increased to 56%.

Harris has gained support in states where she has struggled, and her best performance in a battleground state was in Nevada. According to the data, Harris now leads the former president by three points in the battleground state, where President Joe Biden lost to President Trump by double digits before withdrawing from the race in July.

But while polls show the vice president with a slight advantage, Republicans currently hold a two-point lead in party registration from early voting. It’s not clear who voters support, but NYT/Siena polling data shows Harris has a 5-point lead among early voters and independent voters who are voting early. It is said that it is in the lead among the Japanese.

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