If President Trump is elected in November, California voters will send a clear message to the Golden State’s next senator: “Protect us.”
But if Kamala Harris is elected, Californians want the next senator to focus on legislation that helps the state as much as possible.
These disparate findings come from a new poll released Friday by the University of California, Berkeley’s Institute for Governmental Research on Democratic Representative Adam B. Schiff and Republican Senator Steve Garvey. This is a survey of how voters feel.
The poll, co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times, looked at how the nation’s largest state would fare as a political challenger if Trump were elected in November, or if Harris were to win the California Democratic Party for the first time. It shows how it works. white house.
With less than a month left in the race to replace the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein, polls show Mr. Schiff maintaining a significant lead over Mr. Garvey. About 53% of likely voters say they prefer Mr. Schiff, a figure that has remained unchanged over the year, while about 36% prefer Mr. Garvey and 11% are still undecided.
The poll of 3,045 Californians was conducted from September 25th to October 1st ahead of a heated debate between Senate candidates in Burbank this week.
Mr. Schiff rose to national prominence for his high-profile positions as chairman of the House Intelligence Committee and chief executive of Mr. Trump’s first impeachment trial.
During Tuesday’s debate, Mr. Garvey sought to portray Mr. Schiff as too preoccupied with vendettas against Mr. Trump to focus on the issues that matter to California voters, asking: Do we have to take care of millions of people in California? ”
However, Mark DiCamillo, Berkeley IGS poll director, said that if Schiff is elected to the Senate and Trump is elected to the White House, California voters will likely not want Burbank to continue in that role. He said he hopes to do so.
“Mr. Schiff has claimed to be anti-Trump, and these data comply with that,” DiCamillo said.
Nearly 6 in 10 likely California voters believe that if Trump is elected, the next senator will “protect California’s interests and oppose federal legislation that would undermine existing state laws and policies.” Opinion polls show that people want to make this a priority.
More than four in five Schiff supporters and more than half of undecided voters say protecting California’s interests should be the top priority.
But likely California voters also expect the next senator to work across the aisle with other parties, with 50% saying they should focus on passing bipartisan legislation. There is. Additionally, 49% said that if Trump were elected, the state’s next senator should prioritize “standing up to the president and challenging his executive orders.”
California voters’ priorities change dramatically when considering a Harris administration.
A majority, 56%, said they want California’s next senator to prioritize policies and laws that benefit the state as much as possible.
Meanwhile, 48% want either Schiff or Garvey to work with the Harris administration on its legislative agenda, and 31% say protecting Harris from partisan attacks in the Senate should be a priority.
The poll showed Garvey, who played nearly 20 years with the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, leading Schiff in the Inland Empire and Central Valley.
The two candidates are in a close race in purple Orange County, with 46% of voters supporting each candidate.
DiCamillo said Garvey is “doing pretty well for a statewide Republican.” But he faces “the same structural problems as Republicans running statewide.” Among registered voters in California, Democrats outnumber Republicans by nearly 2 to 1.
Mr. Schiff maintains a significant lead in California’s two most populous regions, where he accounts for nearly half of voters. In Los Angeles County, 59% of voters said they planned to support Schiff, and in the San Francisco Bay Area, nearly 7 in 10 said they would support him.
Garvey said during Tuesday’s debate that he voted for Trump three times, including in the 2024 presidential primary. But he did not seek Trump’s support, which Trump said last month was a “big mistake.”
“Without MAGA, he has no chance,” President Trump said, referring to his motto “Make America Great Again” acronym and his political base.
The data suggests that Mr. Garvey does indeed receive support from Mr. Trump’s loyal fans. Among respondents who characterized their political views as MAGA, 92% said they planned to support Mr. Garvey.
By contrast, Schiff’s support was highest among people who identify as progressive (89%) and among those who identify as progressive (79%).
Their disapproval ratings were relatively similar. Among likely voters, 43% said they had a favorable view of Mr. Schiff, while 34% said they had an unfavorable view. About 35% of voters had a favorable view of Garvey, 35% had a negative view and 30% had no opinion.