Former President Donald Trump still maintains a large lead in Iowa ahead of Monday's Republican presidential caucuses due to strong support, according to a new poll published by the Des Moines Register. Unlike former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley, who lacks similar enthusiasm. /NBC News/Mediacom.
Among voters who plan to caucus for Trump, about 42% say they are “very enthusiastic,” and 39% say they are “very enthusiastic,” compared to 9% and 30% for Haley. Ta. The same metrics, according to Overall, those surveyed strongly supported the former president, with 48% of voters saying they supported Trump, followed by Haley at 20% and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis at 16%. (Related: Democratic party ID hits record low heading into 2024: poll)
“[Haley’s] “I think the enthusiasm numbers, again, are at an astonishing level,” J. Ann Selzer of Slezer & Co. told the Des Moines Register. “His 61% is just a little enthusiastic or not very enthusiastic. That seems inconsistent with a candidate being elevated.”
The poll found that almost half of those in the caucus who said they supported Haley were only “somewhat enthusiastic.” DeSantis similarly lacked enthusiasm, with just 23% of his supporters saying they were “very enthusiastic.”
Polls show that even though the Iowa caucuses offer voters an opportunity to persuade other voters, about 68% of those surveyed said they had already made up their minds and said they could still be persuaded. Only 25% did. About 7% of voters were undecided on their first choice.
BREAKING: Hawkeye State poll shows former President Donald Trump has a slight lead in the Iowa Republican caucus, with an overwhelming lead of over 50% of caucus attendees. pic.twitter.com/hlH8oJjR41
— Leading Report (@LeadingReport) January 14, 2024
According to the poll, those who were expected to vote for Mr. Trump are likely to have already made up their minds, with 82% saying their support for the former president is solidified. Among Haley and DeSantis supporters, 63% and 64%, respectively, said they were determined.
According to the poll, 69% of Iowa Republican caucus participants view Trump favorably, followed by DeSantis at 58%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 52%, and Haley at 48%. ing. Despite inclement weather forecast for the day, 62% of DeSantis supporters said they would “definitely” attend, while 56% and 51% of Trump and Haley supporters, respectively, said the same.
According to the poll, 39% of Haley's supporters identify as independents, while 11% identify as Democrats. That means half of her measured support is not Republican, since her caucus is open to all Iowans regardless of party affiliation. Trump remains in the lead overall among independents, with 37% of those surveyed planning to caucus with the former president, followed by Haley at 33% and DeSantis at 14%.
The poll was conducted from January 7th to 12th among 705 people likely to attend the Republican caucuses, and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7.
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