Former President Donald Trump is trailing Vice President Kamala Harris in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, according to a series of polls released Saturday by The New York Times and Siena College.
Among voters in the three Great Lakes states surveyed, Harris leads Trump 50% to 46%. NYT/Siena PollWithout Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, Trump would lose the presidential election even if he won all the remaining battleground states, all of which are within the margin of error of each poll.
“Today's NYT poll in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin makes some of the internal numbers seem hard to believe. For example, Harris is at 42% among non-college educated whites, [example]Veteran Democratic activist David Axelrod said He reacted to the poll on social media on Saturday: “If you take the polls into account, it's probably basically a tie.”
Harris' emergence as the Democratic presumptive nominee after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race has largely erased the decline in enthusiasm the party faced heading into November, according to the NYT/Siena poll. (Related: Poll shows more than three-fifths of Americans believe Kamala Harris covered up Biden's health problems)
While only 60% of Democrats said they were satisfied with their candidate choices in the May election, that number jumped to 87% in an August NYT/Siena poll. In contrast, 74% of Republicans were satisfied with their candidates in the May election, rising slightly to 79% in August.
“I'm so proud to be a part of this historic moment and I hope that she will be the first African-American/Asian woman to enter the White House,” a Pennsylvania Democrat told The New York Times. “I think this is a really exciting time and an exciting moment.”
Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally (Photo: Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Voters are concerned about Harris' ideological leanings, with 42% of voters saying she is too liberal for them, according to The New York Times, up from 37% who said they felt that way about Biden in October 2023.
“I think she's more liberal, but I don't think she's entirely pro-middle class,” a Michigan voter who plans to support Trump in November told The New York Times. “She has one view, which is pro-rich.”
Harris has recently distanced herself from past positions, including support for lax border security, a ban on fracking and a single-payer public health care system, The New York Times reported. Despite her shift to the center, new polls show voters still trust Trump more than the vice president to handle immigration and the economy.
But polls show Harris outranks Trump when it comes to voters' trust on abortion and democracy.
Pollsters surveyed about 619 people in Michigan, 661 in Wisconsin and 693 in Pennsylvania, and placed more emphasis on certain demographics underrepresented among survey respondents, such as those without a college degree, in an effort to make the results more reflective of the general population.
Poll Average Compiled According to the NYT, as of August 10, Harris's approval rating is at an average of 48% nationally, compared to Trump's 47%, making it a close race. According to the NYT average, the two are tied in Pennsylvania, while Harris has slight leads in Michigan and Wisconsin.
When asked for comment, the Trump campaign said: slate A recent poll conducted by Insider Advantage and Trafalgar Group shows Trump leading Harris in Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Arizona, but not in Michigan, and Trafalgar Group significantly overestimated Republican support in 2022, Newsweek previously reported. Reported.
The Harris campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment from the Daily Caller News Foundation.
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