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Pollsters Shift Five House Seats Toward Dems After Pivotal SCOTUS Ruling

The Cook Political Report on Thursday updated its assessments of five House elections across several states in 2024, after the Supreme Court ruled against Alabama’s redistricting plan. moved to the Democratic Party.

A court on Thursday destroyed a map of the Alabama legislature prepared by Republicans for the 2022 midterm elections and ruled: Allen vs Milligan It violated the Voting Rights Act of 1965 and was racist and undermined the voting power of African Americans. The decision means that more House seats are likely to be contested in Alabama in the 2024 election, and Cook’s Political Report reflects those changes.among them evaluation. (Related: Supreme Court Destroys Alabama Legislative Map)

new evaluation Alabama’s 1st and 2nd congressional districts, which cover parts of Mobile and Montgomery, change their ratings from ‘Solid R’ to ‘Toss Up’. The new valuation is a significant shift from previous strong Republican seat valuations, and the ruling said the line could still win seats for Democrats in newly drawn districts whose lines have yet to be finalized. suggests that there is

“Right now, we’re making five changes to our House election ratings,” said the Cook Political Report. I have written on Twitter.

“The landmark Allen v. Milligan ruling could reverberate throughout the Deep South and create new black-majority, strongly Democratic seats in several states.” I have written David Wasserman of Cook Political Report.

The Cook Political Report also changed the ratings of three other states’ seats to “toss-up” status. These include Republican Rep. Julia Lettlow’s 5th congressional district in Louisiana; It includes the 6th congressional district, represented by Rep. Graves. sealing.

Louisiana’s Congressional Map Has Not Been Overturned By Any Court, And Cook Was In The 5th And 6th Districts Partisan Vote Index Their (PVI) scores during the 2022 midterm elections were R+17 and R+19 respectively.

The fifth seat newly assessed by the Cook Political Report is North Carolina’s 1st congressional district, currently held by first-term Democratic Rep. Don Davis.Seat – with PVI D+2 And about the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC):target list‘ will be reclassified as ‘Lean D’ in 2024, a boon for Democrats trying to keep the seat.

The rating was released following the North Carolina Supreme Court ruling. harper vs hall In April, it ruled that the state’s Republican map of Congress was constitutional. Republicans are now half Two of the state’s 14 congressional districts, other than Davis, are on the NRCC target list.

House Republicans currently hold a small majority of the four seats in the 222 Republicans, 212 Democrats, and one vacant House.

Letlow, Graves, and Alabama Republican Rep. Jerry Carr and Rep. Barry Moore, who represent the first and second congressional districts respectively, did not immediately respond to the Daily Caller News Foundation’s request for comment.

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