FOX News’ Karl Rove said Tuesday that Republican candidate Donald Trump only needs to win one of Pennsylvania, Georgia or Michigan to become the next president.
If Trump wins the battleground states of Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina on election night, he will receive 252 electors, but the former president will need to secure the 270 electors he needs to win. All they need to do is win Pennsylvania, Michigan or Georgia. said FOX News host Bill Hemmer. Mr. Rove said Mr. Trump could afford to win such a close race “commandingly” even if he lost some key battleground states.
“It’s definitely going to be close,” Loeb said. “Like you said, Arizona seems to be [Trump’s] It’s the best state, but things seem to be going well in North Carolina. Although more Republicans than Democrats vote early, the state has a large number of independent voters. I don’t know exactly how they’re voting, but it’s going to be a close race. Because, as you say, if he wins Georgia, the race is over. If he wins Pennsylvania and loses Georgia, the campaign is over. That’s because if he wins Nevada, Arizona, and North Carolina, he could be on the electorate of either 15 or 19 states. Michigan and Georgia have 16, and Pennsylvania has 16. [is] 19. Any one of them will get him to the top. ”
Republican candidates have made historic gains among many demographic groups, especially blue-collar workers and young black and Latino men, who are distancing themselves from Democrats in droves.
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The former president holds almost 2 points. advantage According to , Arizona State had a 0.2 point difference against Harris, Nevada State had a 0.2 point difference and North Carolina State had a 1.2 point difference. 538 vote average. Trump maintains another 0.3 points lead Harris received 0.1 points in Pennsylvania. lead Almost 1 point in Wisconsin advantage in Michigan, according to FiveThirtyEight. (Related: MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki says polls showing Trump ahead are ‘hard to ignore’ and Harris’ positive image is declining)
A Wall Street Journal poll released on October 24 showed Trump leading the nation nationally, 47% to 45%, but the latest CNBC poll showed the former president winning. secure Nationally, they have a 2 point lead. As of Oct. 18, the former president held a 0.8 percentage point lead over Harris in every battleground state, according to RealClearPolling averages.
Former presidents have historically had higher than average turnout in the 2016 and 2020 elections, but that may not be the case in the next election, CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said Tuesday.
The former president could become the first Republican candidate to win the popular vote since 2004.
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