Political analyst Mark Halperin consistently predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris would struggle in the 2024 presidential election, ultimately losing to President-elect Donald Trump.

According to RealClearPolling averages, Ms. Harris lost to Mr. Trump in all seven battleground states, despite close margins in those states throughout the campaign. Appearing on Newsmax and her 2WAY platform, Ms. Halperin accurately said, based on data, sources, and experience covering campaigns, that it would be difficult for Ms. Harris to secure these key states and the presidency. Analyzed. (Related: Kamala Harris co-sponsors bill to force schools to let male athletes compete in girls’ sports)

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On October 8, Ms. Halperin warned that Ms. Harris’ trajectory was poor in battleground states, citing issues with private polling and conversations between Democrats and Mr. Trump’s associates, all of whom were in favor of Trump. Agreed that he is moving into a stronger position.

“I just saw a new private poll today that’s very solid…She’s in a very difficult situation…The conversations I’m having with data and with Trump officials and Democrats, the last 48 hours… I’m very bullish on the potential,” Halperin said.

He cited Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia as states where Harris is most at risk.

“I’m not saying she’s going to lose all six games, but she’s at risk. The only thing Democrats are saying is she’s not at risk of losing. [Nevada] …She could lose any of those six, right? added the political analyst. “So she could lose all seven, but Democrats will say they’re worried about those six. They’re not as worried about the seventh. In a Trump presidency, I don’t know anyone who is worried about losing any of the seven.”

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Halperin continued to warn about the state of Harris’ campaign on Oct. 14, noting a change in her rhetoric. blame Trump’s staff blocked his “60 Minutes” interview, another discussion of her, and the release of her medical records. The political analyst argued that the then-vice president’s line of attack suggested her campaign was headed for failure.

“She’s talking about things that have absolutely no impact on the real lives of real people, okay? If you’re terminally ill and you look at the polls every day, and according to your own data, you’ve done nothing so far, What do you do when something doesn’t work? You start talking about new things to see what hits the wall,” Halperin said. “So now she’s talking about a lot of things related to Trump’s secrecy: no medical records, no debates, no “60 Minutes,” etc.”

“There’s been quite a bit of attention in the press. We’ve covered winning campaigns and losing campaigns, but everyone who loses in the last three weeks starts to get new stories,” he added. “If I went to a diner in Green Bay today…I asked the people there if they were going to decide who they were going to vote for based on whether Trump did a ’60 Minutes’ interview or did another debate. Please… these are all signs” They know they have a problem, so if I can find even one voter who will vote on this basis, good luck. ”

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On October 25, Mr. Halperin pointed to the growing data that suggests Mr. Trump is gaining ground against Ms. Harris and highlighted the last national university in the New York Times/Siena College. public opinion poll In the 2024 election cycle, Trump and Harris were tied at 48% last time. public opinion poll The vice president was found to have a 49% to 46% lead.

“There is qualitative and quantitative data everywhere showing that things are going in Trump’s direction and that it will be difficult but not impossible for her to win…Conventional wisdom, even if it is wrong, is The idea was that if Donald Trump tied, otherwise he would win within a few points in the national polls,” Halperin said. “The New York Times reports that Kamala Harris could win the Electoral College and lose the popular vote. And we think Trump will win more in the big blue states than last time. We talked about how we could win more popular votes because we’re doing better, but we could still lose the electorate.

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As the election approaches, Halperin highlighted Harris’ weakening position in Sun Belt states. On November 1, he noted that Harris’ diminishing chances in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina gave Trump a new path to victory.

“Her chances of winning in four large Sun Belt states have receded, giving Trump more options to reach No. 270… “The reality of polling, and President Trump, as you know, he has a chance to win all three Midwestern states, all the Great Lakes states,” Halperin said. “And he’ll probably need one to win. And he’ll lead the movement, and she won’t. And the suspicions against her continue.”

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On Nov. 4, Halperin warned that Harris faces challenges in key Democratic districts and regions in Michigan.

“Democrats first [President] Joe Biden, now Kamala Harris, has problems with Arab Americans, Muslim Americans, Jewish Americans, workers, and young black men. And the same pattern seen in other battlegrounds is being seen there. “We’re seeing a weak performance in the Detroit metropolitan area, and then a strong performance in rural areas that are probably pro-Trump,” Halperin said. “So this may be an outlier, and Donald Trump may win against others, but I doubt he will win there. But the entire state of Michigan will be President Trump. I could imagine it.”

Harris beat Trump by only 29% in Wayne County, where Detroit is located, but Biden won the county by 38% in 2020. According to In the Detroit Free Press. Green Party candidate Jill Stein received 18% of the vote in the majority in the Middle Eastern city of Dearborn, which is backed by Trump. won.

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