Former President Donald Trump has a slim lead over Vice President Kamala Harris, according to a new New York Times/Siena College poll.
Recent data shows Trump's approval rating at 48%, Harris just one point behind at 47%, with 6% of voters still undecided. According to The New York Times/Siena College poll was conducted September 3-6. Investigated There are 1,695 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points for eligible voters and plus or minus 2.6 percentage points for registered voters. (Related: “Less atmosphere, more policies”: Here's why Harris' approval rating is lower than past Democratic candidates)
Among voters who support third-party candidates, Trump's approval rating falls to 46%, but is still two points ahead of Harris's 44%, with 4% undecided. Additionally, 2% of voters supported Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver.
But if the survey did not include leaning voters, the poll found Trump received 44% of the vote, Harris 42%, 7% undecided, 3% who had refused to vote and Stein and Oliver 2% each.
In late August, journalist and author Mark Halperin said in a livestream that polls in battleground states showed Harris within the “margin of error” that could put Democrats in a “scary position” in November.
“There are some public polls out there already, and more to come out. There are some private polls nationally that suggest she's not leading in battleground states. She may be leading on paper, but it's within the margin of error. And there are some battleground states that, on this trajectory, we think Donald Trump is going to be leading,” Halperin said.
US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event at Throwback Brewery in Northampton, New Hampshire, September 4, 2024. (Photo by JOSEPH PREZIOSO/AFP via Getty Images)
The vice president was initially criticized for avoiding detailed press conferences and not releasing his policy platform. WebsiteHarris has slowly unveiled parts of her policy plans throughout her speeches, including economic goals on housing and tax credits, but has faced strong backlash from experts on both sides of the aisle.
Critics have particularly warned about her proposal to impose a federal ban on “corporate price gouging” to lower food prices, warning that it would lead to price inflates and create a black market.
But even though he finally sat down for an interview with CNN's Dana Bash in late August alongside his running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, the vice president was unable to elaborate on why his campaign aides had reversed course on some of the far-left policies he championed during the 2020 presidential election.
While a majority of voters viewed Trump and Harris as “very unfavorable” candidates, the poll found that voters strongly believed Trump would do a better job on the economy and immigration: An estimated 56% of voters said Trump would do a better job on the economy than Harris, and 53% said Trump would do a better job on immigration, but 55% believed Harris would do a better job on abortion.
According to New York Times/Siena College data, 21% of 1,374 voters surveyed said the economy was their biggest concern in the November election, followed by 14% citing abortion, 12% immigration and 7% inflation and the cost of living.
The data also shows that a growing number of voters believe Harris bears “some responsibility” for rising prices, border issues and the failure to withdraw from Afghanistan.
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