Former President Donald Trump came within striking distance of Vice President Kamala Harris in New Hampshire, a state that Republicans have not claimed in a presidential race since 2000.
New Emerson College Polling/WHDH public opinion pollThe poll, conducted Oct. 21-23, found Harris trailing Trump by just 3 points, with support from 50% of likely voters, compared to 47% for Trump. It was shown that Third-party candidates received 2% and 1% of voters are undecided.
The narrow margin suggests the race is tighter than most expected in Democratic-leaning states, as Trump gains momentum in states where President Joe Biden carried him by more than 7 percentage points in 2020. Recent polls show a significant shift in support for Trump among male voters. Meanwhile, Harris maintains the same lead among women as Biden did in the last election.
“Harris’ support among women is about the same as Biden’s in 2020, but male voters have shifted about 2 points to Trump,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “I am doing so,” he said. “Furthermore, Harris has a lower approval rating among independent voters than Biden did in 2020, with Harris leading by 13 points, while Biden is nearly double that.”
Trump narrows lead over Harris by 3 points in New Hampshire: poll https://t.co/nlf7U1zdF6
— The Hill (@thehill) October 25, 2024
Concerns about the economy dominate the political landscape in New Hampshire, with 34% of respondents citing the economy as their top priority, followed by 26% citing housing affordability, leading to fiscal consolidation. This could have an impact on President Trump, who campaigned on the promise of job creation. According to the Emerson College Poll, this agenda is aimed squarely at dissatisfaction with inflation and rising costs. Addressing these economic concerns will be critical for Harris as she works to strengthen her New Hampshire footprint. (Related: Voters trust Trump more than Harris on most important issues, new poll shows)
Other recent polls suggest that Harris also has problems in a close race for support among Arab Americans, with a new Arab News/YouGov poll showing that Trump 45% support Trump compared to Harris’ 43%. As the election nears, Harris’ team has said it is concerned about her standing in key battleground states such as Michigan, where Arab American and Muslim communities could be crucial. It is being
With less than two weeks until Election Day, Mr. Trump holds a narrow 47% to 45% lead over Ms. Harris nationally, according to a Wall Street Journal poll released Thursday. The change follows an August poll in which Harris held the lead, but is now within the margin of error.
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