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Trump And Harris Running Neck-And-Neck In Pivotal Swing States, New Polling Shows

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are virtually tied in three key Midwestern battleground states, according to a Trafalgar Group poll released Saturday.

A Trafalgar Group survey of general election voters gives Trump a lead with a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points. Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvaniaare three of the most crucial battleground states in the 2024 presidential election. Results indicate that all three states are poised to be highly competitive with Election Day just 65 days away.

Trafalgar reports that Trump is leading by 0.4% in Michigan, 1.1% in Wisconsin and 2.1% in Pennsylvania. Harris is leading narrowly in all three states by RealClearPolitics. Poll AverageIn Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, the leads are 1.1%, 1.4% and 0.5%, respectively. (Related article: Trump and Harris in close race in battleground states: poll)

Trump won all three states. 2016 in the election before losing to President Joe Biden. 2020 The 2024 election may ultimately turn out the same way in the “blue wall” states, as the Trump campaign projects that if it can win North Carolina and Georgia, a win in Pennsylvania would be enough to win the election.

Prominent pollster Nate Silver Written On Thursday, election forecasting models projected Pennsylvania to have a more than one-in-three chance of being a “tipping point” state, and the Trump and Harris campaigns have already spent hundreds of millions of dollars on advertising there. According to To Axios.

The three polls were conducted Wednesday through Friday, and all three surveys used the same survey. MethodologyThe Pennsylvania poll surveyed 1,082 respondents, while the Wisconsin poll surveyed 1,083 voters and the Michigan poll surveyed 1,089.

Both candidates have been holding events and rallies in Midwestern battleground states. schedule They will face off in a debate on September 10th.

Harris participated in her first in-person interview since becoming the de facto Democratic nominee after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race in July, while Trump has participated in numerous interviews, including with non-traditional interviewers such as comedian Theo Fong and Tesla CEO Elon Musk.

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